it's pretty even over the draft here are the numbers for each team
7- Essendon
5- Brisbane,Carlton, North
4- Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, West Coast, Western Bulldogs
3- Hawthorn, Richmond, Stkilda, Sydney
2- Adelaide, Port
My guess for GWS would have to be Dylan Shiel sig. I would be very surprised if he doesn't feature anywhere. And love the detail in your comments mate but a lot of the info does seem to be a bit all over the shop. But I guess that is what this time of the year is for, speculation haha can't wait for checklist allthough I am pretty sure GWS and GC won't have match Guernsey cards till next year
Time for some math! Hopefully its all correct
So based on the math of 70 cards numbered to 240 @ 2 per box, there are 8400 boxes total, @ 12 boxes per case that's 700 cases, which was mentioned earlier in the thread and now looks like its confirmed.
If there are 9 jerseys, that means that:
If sig variant is numbered to:
50 it would be ~1 per 1.5 cases (1 per 18.7 boxes)
75 it would be ~1 per case (1 per 12.4 boxes)
100 it would be ~1.3 per case (1 per 9.3 boxes)
If the non-sig variant is numbered to
200 = 1 per 4.7 boxes
250 = 1 per 3.7 boxes
300 = 1 per 3.1 boxes
350 = 1 per 2.7 boxes
400 = 1 per 2.3 boxes
450 = 1 per 2.1 boxes
475 = 1 per 2 boxes
... a massive 900 if it were 1 per box
So based on the above my guess is that sig versions will be /75 and non-sig somewhere between 300 and 475, possibly 400 if the sig version replaces the non-sig odds meaning that overall odds are 1 per 2 boxes to get either a sig or non-sig jersey.
All of this assumes that other hits are not replaced by the jersey and are the rarer 1 per multi-box hit, which would make sense imo.
Based on my guesses of /75 sig version and 400 non-sig, so far its shaping up like this:
1:XX Certified (I think this is low end insert, not numbered and 1:6)
1:18 Rookie Card
1:36 Certified Signature (Assumed)
1:72 Certified Jersey
1:432 Certified Signature Jersey
If i were a betting man id say 80 signed and 150 unsigned.
That's the way I'm leaning too mate. Will probably bust a couple of boxes though, given the trouble Select have gone to in listening to their customers with this release. We probably couldn't ask for much more!I love busting boxes just as much as the next collector, but if boxes are going to be around $250ish with only a 1:6 chance of getting a non sig patch card I think I'll save my money and buy the Hawks redemption card. At least that way I know I'm getting exactly the card I want. But will make up my mind when I see what other cards and what players are in the series.
That's the way I'm leaning too mate. Will probably bust a couple of boxes though, given the trouble Select have gone to in listening to their customers with this release. We probably couldn't ask for much more!
Fyfe hasn't had a signature and Kennedy had a DPS for Carlton, but hasn't had an Eagles signature. So you'd think they'll hopefully both have medal signatures!
Yeah for sure, I'd be quite happy for him to get a Norm Smith signature. Was just mentioning those two specifically because they've never had a signature card with their current teams. But as you said Hawks supporters have been a bit stiff the last few years with high-end sigs, so definitely wouldn't surprise me to see Rioli get one.And don't forget Rioli. Yes he has had a gold and platinum sig but surely if you do Fyfe and Kennedy you also do Rioli. Hawks collector have had a lot of Coleman and Norn Smith winners, 7 in total in 8 years, and all we got was a Franklin in 2012.
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