Is GU dead and are we oblivous to US trends???

chadjaja

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Ask any US collector/dealer and they will say GU is a dead thing now. Cards sell for a small amount of BV and the market is completely saturated thanks to the greedy companies churning it all out.

Star players can be had at 1 cent -$2US buys and even second year Brons can be had cheap now.

UD and other companies can make thousands of GU out of just the one jersey alone and save the trims, patches and logo for the high end stuff. I've heard of them getting players to wear the jersey for the one game and then taking it off their backs for cards. SO we are getting a jersey played in for at most 42 minutes! Not forgetting the bullshit event worn crap!

I'm biased towards the legends retired player GU market as the supply of game worn stuff is very low. There are NO Cousy Celtics game worn card in which he has a green or white swatch as all the ones so far have come from his 1957 all star uniform bought from his private collection sale. Hence UD and others can't just churn them out and once they use all the pieces thats pretty much it. Same rules apply for Wilts, Alcindor, Bird etc. They cost more for the companies to buy and are in shorter supply. I actually cringe at the thought of a Chamberlain game used jersey being cut up into a thousand pieces!

On to the US market comparison. Here in OZ we are pretty isolated from communicating with many dealers and collectors apart from here etc. Some of us have a strong core of friends and dealers etc in the US but thats not the rule.

If you lived in the US you would go to shows and see GU sold for peanuts and talk to others about the hobby. You would get the gist of the hobbies direction a lot more easily.

As a lot of the new members here say they have been back for a while and just buying for themselves without much collector interaction apart form ozcards now. And after the dead period of collecting logged on and saw GU going for a song on ebay.com. I did the same and bought up at first. I think we all did to a degree. Buying and collecting based on likes not value and potential.

Its here I even think we here in Australia have kept truer to the hobbies real meaning and collect for better reasons. The US hobby is less dominated by true player collectors that stay with a player long term. BV and market value rule the roost and the must have thing is always the latest product.

BUT I honestly feel we are at least 1-2 years behind the US in hobby trends. Autos are even hard to sell now as the market is once again flooded. Although an auto will always hold some value as its more of personal link to the player in a sense. You don't get a 1/100th of a sig like a jersey. You get the whole name or hopefully the whole name. Now with players signing so much we rarely get that except on high end stuff. Thanks again ud, topps and others.

Maybe its because we are so far removed in distance to any NBA player or game that it provides a sense of being close to the player that Australians seem to scramble for GU so much. I mean a lot of US kids and adults alike would be able to see a game pretty easily if they really wanted to do. We simply don't have that luxury.

When GU was dying in the US the companies saw this and started with mulit colour patches and logos! Now we are focused on getting as many colours as possible and elusive logos. Once again sucking us in. Some teams have so much on their jersey it would be hard not to get a multi color swatch! LOL

For the sake of the whole argument and the cries of how it makes it all afordable I say thats crap. I'd pay good money for a rare or harder to get card if I had too. I'd rather quality over quantity any day.

I see stuff sell so well on ebay.com.au and wonder if the buyers actually look at US eaby?? Maybe there are factors influencing them buying from there such as no CC, shipping or pure ignorence? Its a good thing for the astute Aussie seller to cash in though. Good on the ones that do. They supply the market with what it wants.

I just wonder how many collectors there are sitting at home in Australian cities right now buying and that have no comunication with the card commuity??

hhmm now discus.

Chad
(one half of ozcards jounalists crew)
 
the chad!

awesome chad!

I think the one thing that has kept me away from enjoying game used, is seeing the mistakes...

Ive seen a drob card with a red patch, the spurs dont have red in there jerseys, so where has it comes from, that massive sebastian telfair card with the letters that dont match telfair, trailblazers or anything in the like....these mistakes make me think...how do I know DROb wore this non descriptive white piece of cloth?

An auto...I know he's done it, and I know he has seen the card and that card has been either touched by him, or maybe even been in his house to sign...he might have gotten the packaged from UD, and shown his kids and his wife "hey look at these new cards Ive gotta sign" there is a lot more personal feel with an auto like you said, though the saturation is becoming an issue for me, because then I think he could say "damn I gotta sign 2000 of these?"
 
Great post Chad.

I agree that GUs are becoming so saturated in the market.

What about those grading companies and their little bit of GU jersey in the graded case.

*CRINGE* :roll:
 
we dont need to follow US trends, this is what got aussies back into the hobby, the irigation of the hobby, with autos and gu being released.
an interesting topic , maybe one bound for heated discussion.

gu defiantly isnt the greatest thing in the hobby, "alot cooler than base cards and most inserts", but they should still be worth no lower than $5 aussie each. remembering that this is membrobillia at its absolute minimum.
 
I know generally when I purchase a game used card of a player I like, I try to at least get a coloured one. I get sick of seeing these white game used cards with teams that barely have any white in their jerseys. These basically deserve to only be worth stuff all, because they don't even look authentic or anything. Trouble is it rips off the people who buy the boxes in the first place.

My other half takes it one step further and reckons that the colour of the jersey the player is wearing in the picture, should be whats on the card.

When I first came onto ebay I used to think any game used card was a gem and was happy paying 50-75% of BV. Nowadays I only touch something if I think it is a bargain price and what not.

As much as I don't know very much about the old school players, all I can say is the old school players autograph the cards much nicer than a lot of the current players.
 
Gday Chad you've raised some noteworthy discussions here!
I must say I am one of those people you talk about who have had very limited interaction with the card community, until now. I also do not buy on US ebay because of a lack of a credit card.

But, having said that, there has never been a time where I have bought an item in pure ignorance. Rather, my buying patterns are influenced by my passion for the game. I am aware that I'd undoubtedly be able to get my cards much much cheaper on American eBay, and I am equally aware that there is a much greater range on American eBay.

I think it is important to respect what we have in Australia. Collectors who buy and sell in Australia all share a great passion for the game and are willing to pay just that little much more for our cards in order participate in the hobby they love. I am always aware of what I am buying; its value on the market and its rarety, but I always balance these factors with what the card would be worth to me personally as a part of my collection.

I think the trends over recent times in both card collecting and in basketball in general have been very negative. Money has started to ruin the game; the players are being paid too much and this being reflected in the hobby. We, the collector are being bombarded with product after product as the once valued rookie card has almost become a thing of the past. LeBron for example must have had hundreds of cards out in 2003-4 alone!

I think that as long as a collectors passion for the game remains, we shouldn't criticise Aussie buyers too much.
 
I'm not really having a go at collectors here, merely commenting on their buying and colleting habbits. That removed I still don't understand paying more for something if you know you don't have to?

Its not like we are supporting dairy farmers or anything. Just astute buyers and sellers.

Even then a lot of us here can't even sell GU of star players for a couple of bucks Australian each on ebay.com.au.

I commented its good we are sometimes removed from the bullshit surrounding the hobby but it doesn't hurt to keep in touch with whats going on. You don't need a lot of interaction to get the idea. A week spent watching auctions and you should be able to draw you own conclusions.

TW's bought up a good point about how you can be blase about hometown sport. Go to any AFL game and you will see people with jerseys on signed that have been thru the wash a couple of times. Because of the accesibilty the wow factor is lost a little. Imagine me walking around in one of my signed Celtic jerseys I have and even washing it! :?

If a CC is the only thing holding you back walk into the back tomorrow and get a visa debit card linked to your account. Its that easy. You spend only what balance you have. It provides no credit.

It still doensn't dispute GU is dead and it pretty much killed the comon and good insert with it.
 
Great article Chad.

The card companies always eventually over do any new innovation. When I started collecting, 89 season, the only inserts where the Fleer all-star stickers. Over the next couple years inserts went out of control. Next came parallel versions of cards, then game used and autos. All innovations seems to start small and then become too much and lose their value and interest.
 
The card companies always eventually over do any new innovation. When I started collecting, 89 season, the only inserts where the Fleer all-star stickers. Over the next couple years inserts went out of control. Next came parallel versions of cards, then game used and autos. All innovations seems to start small and then become too much and lose their value and interest.

It's a legitimate cooment, Vlad, but why do companies feel they need to come up with new innovations. Because we as collectors get tired of the same old, same old. Companies are only reacting to what we as collectors want (demand), but yes, do go overboard trying to squeeze every available dollar out of the product immediately.

A look at a few 05/06 products, and already most of them dictate it's easier to pull auto's than GU's (the odds stated). This will more than likely result in flooding the market with autos (such as what they've done with GU's), but this may result in GU's starting to have a little more value.

As for Chad's point, yes, I agree that Aussies tend to be loyal collectors. Rather than hopping from one next big thing to the next big player, we stay loyal to players we collect (collected). I'm still loyal to Shaq, even after he left the Magic, but now have expanded PC to include Dwight & Jameer.
 
Very interesting discussion.

I think it's true too, Aussies will pay more for jerseys than Americans would. I think that there's a lot of reasons for that.
One of them is that like you mentioned, the players are more accessible to fans in USA.

The other one that I think is also an influencing factor is that to many Australians, we hadn't even heard about jersey cards until recently as they are not marketed AT ALL over here.

The thing is, there are always new collectors joining the hobby in Australia and for the newer collectors the WOW factor is going to be there.
I'm sure that when most of us got back into the hobby we went ga-ga over the jersey cards. I know I did. I paid like $15 for a Rasheed Wallace, didn't even care he was on the card just wanted to see and hold one in person lol

So the thing is, the prices will generally maintain their stability at least in the foreseeable future as long as new buyers keep hitting ebay.au and new collectors keep sprouting up.
I actually think that they will stay strong especially throughout the next season as Bogut draws in more new collectors in Australia.
some of my sales now have actually been even better than a year ago. I sold a Mourning jersey on auction that went to $33au
it was a normal jersey, 1 colour, not numbered or rare in any way.

If people really want something they will pay what it takes to win it. And when two bidders are after the same thing they can often get into a bidding war over it. Especially in Australia when there are much less cards being listed than in the worldwide market.

So the thing I've found is this:
As a seller, you have to find out what people want, but that there is not much available in .au
Find out what is in demand, but with a very low supply.
If you list something low, that has low demand, chances are it will sell very cheap.
If you listed say Troy Bell auto at 99c
I doubt it would go much higher than 99c because there's not that many people willing to pay for it.
Even if there is one collector that would pay $8 for it, his 99c bid would win it.
You need to find things that many people would want, that is where there are profits to be made as a seller.

As for why people don't buy from overseas and cut out the middle man
well there's quite a few reasons I can think of for that.
1st of all, that people may naturally distrust buying things using their credit card from overseas. Despite the security provided by paypal, people tend to raise an eyebrow if it's their first time using it.
Another factor is that the postage costs are a lot more. Some sellers charge up to $6US postage or more even for a single card.
I've had people quote me $15US for 3 cards
Even more if they want to post out via registered only.

So for a seller if you buy in bulk and save on postage you can then pass these savings onto the buyers. Or even if you sell to them at the price it would normally cost them to buy a single, you are making a small profit.
For example, if you buy a Marbury Jersey for winning bid of $1US along with a whole stack of cards, the Marbury with combined shipping would probably cost about $2US or so. If someone was to just buy the one card on it's own it would cost probably $6US after you factor in postage for that one card.
so If you sell that single for $8Au, it would be the equivalent of what it would cost an Aussie buyer to get it if it was a card they needed.

So in that sense you can double your money whilst providing a useful service to someone that would normally not have access to the item. While at the same time, making ebay australia slightly richer in the process :P

It's a lot of work involved for small amount of money as a seller when you take the time to list and everything into account. Plus you take all the risk if something goes wrong and the item arrives damaged or doesn't arrive at all.
So there's good parts and bad parts I guess.

My thinking is that it is a good way to use up some hours of your life and meet lots of people, as well as make a little money on the side. Selling singles is never going to make you rich, it is more something that you should do to help increase your own card collection. I would pump any small profits I make back into expanding my own collection and I think this is the best way to do it.

I think Autos will always be popular. Particularly of the big name players.
I don't think a Jordan auto will ever be cheap to buy, or even a Jordan jersey.
Its true what Chad says about Lebron jerseys sometimes being found cheap.
I think they are still few and far between though, as lots of people want them and they still sell quite well.
I picked up a Lebron/Eric Snow dual jersey pretty cheap a few weeks ago, but there's a lot of his cards that often go very high still like 04/05 SPx winning materials dual jsy still goes for between 35-45US usually, and it is a card that only books at 50US from memory.

So in summarising this huge piece of shit post of mine, I'd say that yes, there is a trend in USA that the lower end cards are being sold much more cheaply, but I don't think it will affect the prices here too greatly at least in the short term.
 
Game Used

G'day Everyone,
I've finally found somewhere where I can talk all things cards! :D

As a brief introduction, I started out collecting back in about 1992 and stopped about 1999 when the trading card store I was working in decided to close up shop.

Its 2005 and I am just getting back into the game!

My view on jersey cards is that I think problem is simply the sheer volume of game jersey cards coming on to the market.

There are jersey cards, patch cards, combo patch cards, patch cards with different players, All Star jersey cards, autographed patch/jersey/warm up/shoe/shooting shirt/underwear patch cards......well not yet anyway!

I remember back when UD first introduced game jersey cards, they were almost impossible to find......the original NFL and Baseball jersey cards were seen as getting you as close to piece of the action as you can......In fact the closet I got, at first was a Tony Gwynne game used jersey baseball.....only from behind a glass case that was. :twisted:

What fascinated me was that the odds of getting one of these cards was near impossible. The thrill of the chase was the part that excited me the most. I remember almost wearing out a copy of a Beckett magazine because it had a photo of a Michael Jordan Game Jersey card in it!

I never though I would ever see one of these cards in a lifetime, let alone own 4 of them as i do today! * (see below for which ones!)

The same thing happened with Autograph cards........there was the odd Bird/Magic Hoops auto, a Pippen, a Malone and a Stockton, and at one stage......a collectors choice jumbo Jordan autograph card.

The thrill was actually finding someone who had one of these cards, in a shop or in a collection, and if you were lucky you maybe could afford one!

These days it seems a checklist is actually rarer than an autograph card.

I feel that when the odds and rarity diminish the overall value and appeal to collectors diminishes.

Now anybody can buy a card cheaply that has both an auto and a patch of there favourite player (except for mine) on the same card for a handful of dollars!

Since getting back into the game, I've decided to concentrate on one player, Michael Jordan. (Yes I can hear the dollar signs ticking over too!)

I've decided not to worry about his Wizards Jersey cards......Im basically sticking to his high end Bulls game jersey/patch cards, from the fantastic years that I would stay up late watching him dazzle the crowds and win a few championships on Channel Ten in the early hours of the morning.

Now I've decided that I can afford these cards, I better start buying them!


Cheers

Matt
Born Again Collector.


My Jordan Jersey Cards:
03/04 Extra Exquisite (Black with 2 Red pinstripes) #/75
04/05 Trilogy Swatches of Stardom (Red Swatch) #/50
04/05 SP Authentic Game Patch (White Jersey, Red & Black lettering)#/50
04/05 Ultimate Game Jersey (Red Swatch) #/175

Have Photos Too!!
 
I don't know Jordan is the ONLY pricey one but good post.

I too had a Bird/Magic auto at one stage but flipped it for a good profit once I realised I could buy it back anytime I wanted for only $200Aust.
 
Yes you are right, Jordan isn't the only expensive player around, however whenever I see a new set such as UD Exquisite released, I know im in for some serious cash flow problems.

I was looking back at some of the old Beckett issues the other day and I am continually reminded of how stable the prices for Jordan's cards are.

Many of his older cards have declined in price, however he has fared a lot better than many of the other players that were once considered marquee players.

These days card prices arent really a motivating factor for me, however I do cringe when I look at the current beckett Magazine and see cards I once paid "Double Book" for (always because of the exchange rate!!!) and see how much they are worth today.

One prime example was I used to collect Penny Hardaway cards and I remember the period when his cards were nearly the most expensive on the market. Alongside Shaq and Chris Webber he was one of the most sought after players! Now he is listed as an unlisted star, and many of his much sought after cards are now being sold off at bargain bacement prices!

Im currently winning an ebay auction for a Penny game used warmup card and I dont think it has reached $1.00 US yet! If it gets to $5 I may have to let it go!

I would really like to see a return to the days where a game used jersey card was as rare as a Luc Longley 3 pointer, however with the amount of game used equipment out on the market these days, I dont think this will be the case.

As for that ever elusive Bird/Magic Autograph I am envious, however like many other people, I had to settle for the standard card, and for those who were lucky, they got the one with the 5th anniversary gold Hoops stamp on it!

Cheers
Matt
 
I tend to agree with what Matt said, they are just too common these days :(

When Upper deck first released the Game Jerseys in 97/98?? I was in Rookies & Legends in Melbourne when a bloke pulled one, and it was awesome, coz it was new, it was rare and no one else had one! i think the odds were like 1:4000 packs or something???

Now-a-days, you get 5 or 6 game used cards in one box, its nice to get game used cards of players you collect but it is getting ridiculous they are just too common...Autos are the same to a lesser extent, not quite as common but getting there

just my 2c...

btw chad, love your avatar! :lol:
 
i think it's been summed up in a couple of recent posts about throwing away commons. (Not having a go at those people) but we have lost the value of all cards, hoping to pull that BIG one.

Just look at any of the box breaks on the forum, people are disappointed if they pull 2 GU and 1 auto from most boxes, just because they didn't hit BIG or get a good player player. Go back to pre-97 when you were happy just to get a Jordan or a 1 per box insert.

Now we have inserts in every pack, guarantees of multiple GU/auto per box


In regards to GU, there are simply to many out there, too many players and the novelty has certainly worn off. I think some of the ideas here recently like game-dated GU could re-spark the interest in them
 
Wow, great thread.

Well, firstly, auto, game used, whatever, you name it, everything can be "overdone" and the "it" factor quickly wears off. But that's for everything, not just game used cards.
Me, I am a hhhuuugggee fan of auto'ed game used cards. Period.

But seriously, it depends on the individual. I love jersey/patch cards. And trust me, it depends on the product and the card, there a a heap of cards out there that there is no way in heck, you are going to get for a few $$$.

The cheaper and "just throw in a pack" jersey cards does make the market seem lame about them, but the "rare" or "special" ones out there still create a wow foctor for me. I mean just look at my Shaq/Wilt Dual jersey card I got a feww days ago. It's just a dual jersey card, big deal. But it's a big deal to me.

Sometimes I think that some collectors are too focused about "how my collectio" or "how my mailday" compares with others, and it's really sad, especially for the younger collectors out there that don't have deep pockets to get the latest hottest thing out there in the market. People have to realise anything can tire quickly, by a "true" PC item will forever be pricessless to a collector.
 
Sometimes I think that some collectors are too focused about "how my collectio" or "how my mailday" compares with others, and it's really sad, especially for the younger collectors out there that don't have deep pockets to get the latest hottest thing out there in the market. People have to realise anything can tire quickly, by a "true" PC item will forever be pricessless to a collector.

Thats what makes this place different from the beckett boards and others ;)

Great to see more faces with opinions on stuff =D>
 
Thats what makes this place different from the beckett boards and others ;)

Completely agree, Beckett boards was the first place I ever joined up.

Then, it became alarmingly clear that if you didn't break Exquisite cases, had mail with a 1/1 printing plate, or had a CP3 or Leborn in your mailday, you got no love whatsoever on your posts.
Mind you, it doesn't bother me like it kills me or anything, but I was really thinking "what's the point" and slowly but surely, pretty much stopped posting on that site all together.
Also, it gets so darn violent on that site. And trust me, people had beef with me, just because they had a bad day or something silly like that. It became obvious to me, later on rather than sooner, that my collection was best served for others that actually would enjoy it. And even if they didn't and didn't respond, they wouldn't just carve me up out of the blue "just because they had a bad day".

Oh, and in 13 plus years, I had never done a trade or sold a card in my life. Until I made these boards, and done deals straight of the bat and people "actually" had interest in the cards I had. It certainly has been a far cry from other boards.
 
I agree with a lot of the sentiments shared on this board, I feel that people have become obsessed with pulling MOJO cards and base and insert cards are no longer valued. I'm a young collector but I rememer when I first started collecting in 95 it took me 2yrs to to pull a jordan base, which i still have and I was stoked.

In saying that, I too have become 'Americanised' in the way i'm only interested in Dwight Auto's or 'high-end' stuff. I think card companies started a bad trend as soon as they began mass producing autos and GU in boxes. Nowadays people will buy a box simply because it contains 2 or 3 auto's per box. I have read many times already on beckett boards that people wont buy this yrs reflections simply because there's ONLY 1 auto per box.

I would love to think Aussies dont follow the trend but in terms of where we are as a card collecting community to that of the world, we really have not much if any say in this trend. Many apologies if it doesnt make any sense, i think 2.5hrs of idol has made me go bananas :P
 
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